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Point Spreads: The Ultimate Beginner’s Guide to Handicap Betting

If you’ve ever seen a sports betting screen and wondered why a team has a minus or plus sign followed by a number such as -7.5 or +3.5; you’re looking at the Point Spread.

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Point Spreads: The Ultimate Beginner’s Guide to Handicap Betting

While a Moneyline bet is simply about who wins the game, the Point Spread is about by how much they win. It’s the bookmaker's way of turning a lopsided match into a 50/50 contest. In this BetWright guide, we will show you how to "cover the spread" and why this is the preferred bet for those one sided contests.

What is a Point Spread?

The Point Spread is a numerical handicap set by oddsmakers to level the playing field between two teams of unequal ability. Commonly refered to as handicap betting here in the ULK

In almost every sporting event, there is a clear favourite and a clear underdog. Take Football for example; if Manchester City were playing a local pub team, nobody would bet on the pub team to win. However, if you gave the pub team a 10-goal head start, the betting becomes much more interesting. That head start is the Point Spread.

How to Read the Spread: Favourites vs Underdogs

When you look at a spread market, you will see a symbol next to the points:

The Minus Sign (-): The Favourite

The favourite needs to give points. To win a bet on the favourite, they need to win the game by more than the number listed. this is known as covering the spread.

  • Example: Kansas City Chiefs -7.5
  • The Condition: The Chiefs must win the game by 8 points or more for your bet to win.

The Plus Sign (+): The Underdog

The underdog receives points. You win this bet if the underdog wins the game outright OR if they lose by fewer than the points listed.

  • Example: Las Vegas Raiders +7.5
  • The Condition: You win if the Raiders win the game, or if they lose by 7 points or fewer.

Why the "Hook" Matters (.5 Points)

You will often see spreads with a half-point, such as -3.5 or +10.5. In the betting world, this half-point is called the Hook.

The Hook exists to ensure there is no draw (or "Push"). Since you can’t score half a point in football or basketball, the half-point guarantees that one side must win and the other must lose. If the spread was a flat -3 and the team won by exactly 3, the bet would be a tie and your stake would be returned. The .5 eliminates that possibility.

Point Spread Examples Across Different Sports

While the concept is the same, the "key numbers" change depending on which sport you're betting on at BetWright.

1. NFL and American Football

In American Football, the most common winning margins are 3 points (a field goal) and 7 points (a converted touchdown). These are called Key Numbers. If you see a spread move from -2.5 to -3.5, it’s a massive change because it crosses that key number of 3.

2. NBA and Basketball

Basketball is a high-scoring game, so spreads can be much larger, often reaching double digits. Because scoring is so frequent, the Hook is vital here to prevent constant ties on the betting line.

3. Rugby

In both Rugby Union and Rugby League, point spreads are very popular. Because of the way scoring works (5 or 7 points), spreads often sit around key numbers like -6.5 or -10.5.

How the Spread is Set: The Role of the Oddsmaker

A common myth is that the Point Spread is a prediction of the final score. It isn't.

The Point Spread is a tool used by bookmakers to get an equal amount of money bet on both sides. If everyone is betting on the favourite, the bookmaker will move the spread from -6.5 to -7.5 for example to make the underdog more attractive.

The goal for the bookie is to "balance the book" so they can make on the house edge regardless of who wins. That's why the odds for point spread bets will typically sit around 10/11 and it will be the point spread which changes, not the odds.

3 Tips for Betting the Spread

1. Watch the Line Movement

If you see a spread move significantly during the week, it usually means big "sharp" money has come in, or there is an injury update. If a spread opens at -6.5 and moves to -4.5 without an injury, it suggests the professional bettors like the underdog.

2. Don't Overlook the Underdog

Underdogs cover the spread more often than people think. In many cases, a favourite will win the game but take their foot off the gas in the final minutes to save energy, allowing the underdog to score a late goal, touchdown or basket that covers the spread.

3. Account for the Home Field Advantage

In point spread betting, the "Home Field Advantage" is a major factor in how the line is set. Generally, oddsmakers give the home team a head start just for playing in their own stadium.

When you see a small spread for the home team, it often means the bookmaker thinks the two teams are equal in skill, but the home crowd and lack of travel give the hosts the edge. Before you back a favourite to cover the spread, always check their home vs. away records to see if they truly dominate on their own turf or struggle under the pressure of their own fans.

Point Spread vs Moneyline: Which is Better?

  • Choose the Moneyline if: You just want to pick a winner and don't care about the margin. This is safer for favourites but offers lower returns.
  • Choose the Point Spread if: You think the favourite will dominate and win by a large margin, or if you think an underdog will keep the game much closer than people expect.

Mastering the Spread at BetWright

Point Spread betting adds a layer of strategy to sports that the Moneyline simply cannot match. It makes every minute of the game matter, even if the result is already decided, because every point counts toward your bet covering.

Think you can beat the spread? View our latest markets and see where the latest odds today.

Responsible Gambling: Ensure you set limits and never chase losses. Visit our safer gambling hub for tools to help you stay in control.

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